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We can turn it around or can we? McDonalds double-digit annual growth was so predictable
it came to be expected. But like other fast food companies, the McDonalds
people didnt seem to recognize that consumers tastes were
changing, particularly in terms of health consciousness. No amount of
tweaking with the menu and adding $1 value burgers could turn
sales around. Consumers evidently came to see the golden arches dripping
with fat. The decline in sales has been unrelenting and painfully precipitous. Venerable United Airlines presented the government with
a business plan to obtain loan guarantees to stave off bankruptcy. The
proposal was rejected because of unrealistic revenue projections. Personal computers, department stores, the travel industry,
among other industries, share some of the same problems. And so do countless
smaller firms. There seem to be certain common characteristics of companies
that fail to act even when they are headed for the iceberg as well
as those that take the initiative. Those who appear to avoid facing up to the challenge
behave in certain ways. What follows are some often heard excuses and
explanations. It will get better it always
has Businesspeople can be as naïve as anyone else.
Weve seen bad times before and weve always come through.
Unfortunately, demographics, lifestyle, technology and economic changes
can have an immediate and troublesome impact. McDonalds has been buying up smaller fast food
chains that fit specific niches in an effort to strengthen its position,
along with closing nearly 200 of its locations. While those may be appropriate
moves, it mounted a massive advertising and promotion effort based on
price to attempt to stimulate sales. Rather than face up to the distinct possibility that
basic changes are taking place with its customers, the company attempted
to grow sales using offers that could never resonate with people who were
abandoning the fat concept. Its not as bad as it seems But just walk through mens clothing in any department
or specialty store and see how little space is devoted to suits. Saks
Fifth Avenue stores are a good example of what has happened. Ten years
ago, the Mens Department was most suits, while today
informal clothing dominates. The direction is clear. The situation is temporary As we all
know, it didnt. The manufacturing sector continues to decline and
even the service sector is under pressure as technology improves productivity.
We have discovered that a rising economic tide no longer raises every
boat. There is
a permanence to certain economic trends. Everybody is in the same boat
If home sales are off in an area, region or market segment,
this doesnt mean that they need to be off for everyone. Theres
a real estate broker in Quincy, MA, who changed his legal name some years
ago to Uncle Sam. In his official outfit, he appeared at every
parade and every event in the region and even beyond. On occasion, he
was even turned away. But that didnt stop him. Finally, he became a real estate broker and for the
past two years has been the top salesperson in the company he works for.
He has given himself an identity that separates him from the others in
his field. Whether conditions are good or not, he is positioned
for success. They grab for simple, effortless solutions New, smaller, younger investors had not been added to
offset the inevitable decline from the deceased clients. Once the problem
was faced, the firm opted for the simple solution it invested in
several brochures. Unfortunately, this firm is not alone. Simple, relatively
painless solutions, such as brochures or advertising campaigns, give the
impression of action. Insist on the facts It isnt what we think customers want that
counts. Its only what customers actually want that leads to sales.
And that requires constant research. Move quickly Airlines have steadfastly resisted abandoning
their business model, and theyre drowning in a pool of red ink,
stated New York travel consultant Bob Harrell in a December article published
in the New York Times. They have concluded that doing nothing is
no longer an option, Harrell said. Take the longer view A financial services firm with a long and enviable track
record discovered that it was bleeding managed assets. Their investment
model was holding steady; they werent doing anything different.
The decline in the stock market was not a significant factor. Most of
the loss was due to clients dying. Many had been with the firm since its
infancy. The accounts had grown over three decades. Now, the funds were
in the hands of the next generation who had their own financial plans.
Its easy to forget how long it takes to grow an account. Word of
mouth brought new business. But as clients aged, there were fewer referrals. At no point had the firm actively marketed its enviable
track record, its expertise in producing significant results for its clients. Focus on customer value These are not current subjects on the CEO list of popular
themes. Shareholder value has disappeared, along with about 4.5 million
employees, and what seemed so significant when it came to extra value
is history. The success of IBM under the leadership of Lou Gerstner
is no accident. His clear vision that the customer needed software, consulting
and support to make the black boxes work changed Big Blue into an unparalleled
powerhouse. Stay at it Attention spans are short. Follow-through is woefully
lacking. Whats new gets the green light. Whenever executives attend
a convention or industry seminar, a whole series of new initiatives
are sure to follow. Whether its a product program, a marketing strategy
or a sales initiative, it takes time for results to accrue. Unfortunately,
the short-term mentality runs headlong into the reality of long-term results. Those who succeed, stay with it. One of the best examples
is Chubb Insurance. If there are two words to describe this company, they
would be quality and consistency. More importantly, they seem to know
that you cannot have one without the other. All this seems to suggest that businesses face
a significant danger. They seem particularly susceptible to fantasy thinking
that can lead to trouble and even failure. To avoid the pitfall, sound,
informed, and real world thinking is the key ingredient for keeping businesses
on track.
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